Is Belarus Coming in from the Cold?

Whether this turns into something (slightly) larger or not is yet to be seen. The larger question is not so much how Belarus blunders (that it will blunder is a given), but rather how the European Union reacts.

Situation Report: Belarus

Protests and negative attention from the EU and NGO’s may be too late to protect the interests of the Belarusian people. Lukashenko may manage to keep power just long enough to leave the people of Belarus more fully dependent on Mother Russia than any of the other former republics.