The Ukraine that existed from 1991 through early 2014 is an historic memory as two rump states engage in a fight the end of which everyone already knows.
Iran, Russia, and the oil-producing -stans are in for pain but good; and that pain will translate into both more regional instability and less power projection.
Ukraine could have been a symbol of the West’s determination and ability to make its vision of the world a reality. Ukraine today is a symbol of Western impotence and indifference. And the former Soviet Union is watching.
We asked our scholars to weigh in on the changed situation in Ukraine, and the more geographically Western former Soviet Republics, over the last year and more.
Slowly but surely, a time of reckoning is approaching. The small crimes highlight the larger one of the occupation; and, very soon, the excuses will run out, leaving Armenia’s wrongs recognized by the world.
Winter is coming, and the gas likely will not. Women and children will die of cold when not burned alive. And they will say Ukraine is not at war.
It has been quite a year for Vladimir Putin, and a mark of shame to the West and the institutions of international law it thought it had created.
The latest news is that of an Estonian agent apparently kidnapped from Estonia and charged with espionage in Russia. The aggregate total of the number of people who believe Russia’s story can be found in Russia and fringe websites.
Azerbaijan is taking its turn as the Chair of the Committee of Ministers of the Council of Europe, and is attempting to put its own stamp on the body’s policy and pronouncements.
What we are seeing today is a slow unwinding of the wildest aspirations of the European dream, of permanent peace on the Great European Plain, of brotherhood forged of ties of trade and culture and shared progress, hardened by weariness of war and conflict. Europe had its moment to seize those dreams, and failed.